President Donald Trump spent Monday, Nov. 2, the last day before the midterm elections, at the White House and on the phone: a nearly hour-long speech at the restored Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool, tele-rallies with Republican candidates in at least nine states, and an evening interview with Fox News host Sean Hannity (Factba.se calendar; CNBC). Early Tuesday he called in to Fox & Friends, and there he made the window’s largest policy statement: U.S. aid to Israel ends at the close of 2026 (Fox News).

Highlights. Ranked by policy impact, then coverage: the Israel aid cutoff; Iran, the Qeshm strikes and oil; his closing midterm message; his Alaska fraud claims; and his posts on the Michigan Senate race. The rest of his Truth Social feed held 163 endorsement graphics and nine tele-rally notices.

1. Israel aid

“We were giving them $4 billion – we are – but it gets cut off at the end of the year,” he told Fox & Friends, adding, “Israel's our number one. We give them more than anybody else, and they no longer need it” (Fox News). Pressed on whether he meant weapons or cash, he said, “You can consider it barter. You can consider military aid or cash” (CNN; Scripps News). He said Netanyahu raised it: “Can I be honest with you? He brought it up,” quoting him as saying, “I think it would be appropriate if we do not receive aid” (NBC News). He tied the timing to the campaign: “why should we suffer the slings from lunatics like an El-Sayed when they don't need it?” and “The left uses the $4 billion payment that everybody knows about, it’s no secret, as a signal of unfairness, and we can’t allow that to happen” (Fox News; Jewish Insider). He added, “Now we’ll help Israel if they need it. You know they’ve been a great ally” (NBC News), and Israel can keep buying U.S. weapons (Jerusalem Post).

Deep dive: what the deal would change. The current memorandum of understanding provides about $3.8 billion a year through 2028, Fox News and Jewish Insider report, so a year-end cutoff would end it two years early (Fox News; Jewish Insider). Netanyahu said in January that he hoped to “taper off” U.S. military aid over the next decade, NBC News reports, and days before Israel’s election last week he told an Israeli channel, “get used to the fact that we won’t,” CNN reports (NBC News; CNN). CNN adds that the two governments began formal talks in May on a new agreement to replace the current one (CNN). Scripps News notes he signed legislation in July funding aid to Israel (Scripps News). Neither government had published terms of a deal by the end of the window.

2. Iran, Qeshm and oil

Late Monday the U.S. launched limited strikes on Qeshm Island, which U.S. officials called defensive, the Guardian reports; an official told Fox News the strike did not mark “the beginning of further military action” (Guardian; Fox News live). Tuesday he said of an air-defense site, “We watched it get built. As soon as it was completed, we hit it last night very nicely,” and, “I'm not looking to, you know, kill lots of people, but if we have to, we'll have to” (Jerusalem Post; Fox News live). He also said, “We have total control of the Hormuz Strait” (Jerusalem Post).

Monday night he told Hannity, “This isn't a war, this is a very soft war,” and “Could happen if they don't make a deal, but they want to make a deal very badly and there's a very good chance we make a deal” (transcript; ). Of a fortified site the Guardian calls Pickaxe Mountain he said, “we might have to go after pickax, but that's not a big deal,” and of a congressman’s cost estimate, “that's peanuts” (transcript; Guardian). In New York’s tele-rally he said, “Their leaders are mostly gone. And they are -- they cannot have a nuclear weapon” (transcript).

On oil he posted, “Oil Prices are DROPPING LIKE A ROCK, down almost $10 a Barrel, A RECORD, because people feel that there will not be a War with Iran. Iran wants a settlement, as soon as possible. It could happen!” (). Brent fell 7.6% to $104.77 and U.S. crude 7.3% to $96.46 on Monday, which NBC News and CNBC call the biggest one-day drop since July, not a record (NBC News; CNBC). Vice President JD Vance said Monday, “The President and I both feel pretty good about the prospects for potentially coming to a negotiated settlement” ().

3. The closing message

Opening the Reflecting Pool, he said, “Now we're giving serious thought to changing the name to the Trump Reflecting Pool,” then, “I'm only kidding” (transcript). He blamed vandals for damage to the pool; CNBC reports that U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro told a court on July 31 that a contractor’s botched installation caused it (CNBC). He said, “The Democrat Party has nominated the most extreme and dangerous slate of candidates in American history,” and allowed that “for some reason the sitting president doesn't win the midterms, but we gave this a very strong shot” (transcript). To Hannity he urged supporters to “pretend I'm on the ballot” and said, “If our people vote, we win in a landslide” (transcript). He also posted that “25 Trillion Dollars of Growth and Wealth” had come “just since my Election” ().

4. Alaska’s two Dan Sullivans

He posted that Sen. Dan S. Sullivan should run his race “UNDER PROTEST,” citing “the FRAUD that has been committed against him in putting another Dan Sullivan on the Ballot” (). Late Monday he wrote that the second candidate, retired teacher Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., “HAS TOTALLY DISAPPEARED, GONE!” and asked whether lawyers had “KIDNAPPED” him (). On the Alaska tele-rally he said Peltola “should be removed from the ballot” and called ranked choice “a way of rigging elections” (transcript). He also posted a ballot graphic stamped “SCAM!” (). Votebeat reports that Gov. Mike Dunleavy and federal prosecutors opened criminal investigations after a New York Times story about operatives tied to Peltola’s campaign, and quotes researcher Sarah John putting the spoiler odds under 1% if Republicans rank their choices (Votebeat).

5. Michigan and the rest of the feed

Besides the El-Sayed post, he shared a 70-second 60 Minutes clip of El-Sayed and a screenshot of a post by Republican nominee Mike Rogers that reads, “Completely unacceptable” (; ). He posted 20 state-by-state “GET OUT AND VOTE” endorsement graphics on X and reposted a 33-second White House video that X counted at about 6 million views (). The White House announced Kennedy Center honorees Paul Anka, David Foster, Andy Garcia, David Mamet and Barbara Mandrell (). He re-shared his own Oct. 31 image of Winston Churchill saying, “Donald, you’re doing a Superb Job” (). White House clips posted Monday from a Miranda Devine interview, including “if we don't win, I veto everything,” came from an interview the New York Post published before this window, so this story does not count them (; New York Post).

What the record shows. His spoken wording matches the Factba.se transcripts; Fox & Friends quotes come from Fox News, NBC News, CNN and the Jerusalem Post, which agree on wording, and no transcript existed by the end of the window. The Netanyahu deal has no published terms, and his spokesman had no details (NBC News). The “RECORD” and “biggest drop in oil in history” claims conflict with NBC News and CNBC (NBC News; CNBC). The Alaska fraud claim, the El-Sayed claims, the “House of Satan” report and the “$25 trillion” figure remain unproven.

Responses. Supportive: Vance said Monday, “We've certainly made some progress” on Iran (); Interior Secretary Doug Burgum said at the pool, “no one more than President Trump for what he did on his leadership to make this happen” (transcript). Critical: Yair Golan, head of Israel’s left-wing Democrats party, said, “The cessation of American aid deals a severe blow to Israel’s security” (NBC News); Iran’s deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi said, “We are still in a state of war” (Guardian); and Peltola’s campaign earlier called the DOJ case a “sham investigation” (CNBC). El-Sayed told ABC News in October, “They think they can point to my name and my faith and distract us” (ABC News).